Saturday, June 29, 2013

Friday, June 28, 2013

Today's FREE SPORTS BETS

My Tracked Plays
3* - [931] Cleveland Indians +120 vs Chicago White Sox
3* - [931] Cleveland Indians OVER 9 -105 vs Chicago White Sox
3* - [902] Pittsburgh Pirates -200 vs Milwaukee Brewers
3* - [906] New York Mets -155 vs Washington Nationals
3* - [904] Miami Marlins -122 vs San Diego Padres
3* - [908] Atlanta Braves -170 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3* - [925] Cincinnati Reds +115 vs Texas Rangers
3* - [921] Cleveland Indians OVER 8.5 -120 vs Chicago White Sox
3* - [919] Kansas City Royals -132 vs Minnesota Twins
3* - [910] Colorado Rockies -135 vs San Francisco Giants
3* - [927] St. Louis Cardinals +100 vs Oakland Athletics
3* - [912] Los Angeles Dodgers -160 vs Philadelphia Phillies
3* - [930] Seattle Mariners -152 vs Chicago Cubs
These plays are being tracked under the username bmdpicks11 at Pick Monitor

Tuesday, June 25, 2013

Wimbledon Picks for 6-26-13

Getting ready for FOOTBALL SEASON

This time of year I will have mlb games up as always but once we get into July and August its all getting ready for football. No matter what the best sport is to bet, which isn't football. The public has and always will make football the king of sports when it comes to betting.

Monday, June 24, 2013

NHL

Congrats to the Chicago Blackhawks winning the Stanley Cup. Much the best team all year.

Saturday, June 22, 2013

TIME TO START GEARING UP!!!

This is probably my favorite time of year to bet on sports. Its time to really start gearing up for the home stretch of the MLB season. The teams have played long enough for all of us to get a good feel for the teams and what there all about. But of course it will all change after the all star break like always. Stanley Cup winding down the toughest road to a championship in any sport, and I think another sport is about to start. Hmmmmmmm oh yeah that sport called Football we all wait for will be back in the blink of an eye.
So get your pencils sharpened and be ready for an unprecedented look inside the daily chronicles of a professional handicapper. If you pay attention you may surprise yourself and actually learn something that in turn will add to rather than subtract from your overall handicapping.

First FREE SPORTS BETS FOR SATURDAY

My Tracked Plays
3* - [37] Japan (Confed-Cup) +164 vs Mexico (Confed-Cup)
3* - [21] Brazil (Confed-Cup) -151 vs Italy (Confed-Cup)
3* - [31] Brazil (Confed-Cup) -147 vs Italy (Confed-Cup)
3* - [31] Brazil (Confed-Cup) OVER 2.5 -104 vs Italy (Confed-Cup)
3* - [920] Cleveland Indians -151 vs Minnesota Twins
3* - [910] Arizona Diamondbacks -124 vs Cincinnati Reds
3* - [909] Cincinnati Reds UNDER 8 +100 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3* - [928] St. Louis Cardinals -188 vs Texas Rangers
3* - [919] Minnesota Twins OVER 8.5 -105 vs Cleveland Indians
3* - [923] Oakland Athletics -138 vs Seattle Mariners
3* - [329] Mississippi State wins CWS -120 vs UCLA wins CWS
3* - [332] Mississippi State wins CWS +110 vs UCLA wins CWS
These plays are being tracked under the username bmdpicks11 at Pick Monitorl

Wednesday, June 19, 2013

today's free sports betting

My Tracked Plays
3* - [1] Mexico (Confed-Cup) OVER 3 +114 vs Brazil (Confed-Cup)
3* - [2] Brazil (Confed-Cup) -1.5 -103 vs Mexico (Confed-Cup)
3* - [2] Brazil (Confed-Cup) -299 vs Mexico (Confed-Cup)
3* - [954] San Francisco Giants -142 vs San Diego Padres
3* - [14] Italy (Confed-Cup) -127 vs Japan (Confed-Cup)
3* - [978] Toronto Blue Jays -162 vs Colorado Rockies
3* - [955] Washington Nationals -115 vs Philadelphia Phillies
3* - [966] Cleveland Indians -156 vs Kansas City Royals
3* - [965] Kansas City Royals OVER 8 +110 vs Cleveland Indians
3* - [959] Pittsburgh Pirates +120 vs Cincinnati Reds
3* - [317] Oregon State -180 vs Indiana
3* - [317] Oregon State -1.5 +105 vs Indiana
3* - [58] Boston Bruins -1.5 +250 vs Chicago Blackhawks
3* - [57] Chicago Blackhawks UNDER 5 -147 vs Boston Bruins
3* - [58] Boston Bruins -125 vs Chicago Blackhawks
3* - [969] Oakland Athletics -114 vs Texas Rangers
3* - [971] Chicago White Sox -129 vs Minnesota Twins
3* - [962] St. Louis Cardinals -162 vs Chicago Cubs
These plays are being tracked under the username bmdpicks11 at Pick Monitor

Monday, June 17, 2013

FREE SPORTS BETS FOR TODAY AND TONIGHT

My Tracked Plays
Currently in play:
6/17/13 12:00PM[310] Oregon State -190$300
6/17/13 12:00PM[310] Oregon State -1.5 +110$300

3* - [965] Kansas City Royals OVER 8 -105 vs Cleveland Indians
3* - [974] Toronto Blue Jays -155 vs Colorado Rockies
3* - [966] Cleveland Indians +123 vs Kansas City Royals
3* - [951] Washington Nationals OVER 8.5 -107 vs Philadelphia Phillies
3* - [973] Colorado Rockies OVER 9 +105 vs Toronto Blue Jays
3* - [954] St. Louis Cardinals -200 vs Chicago Cubs
3* - [964] Detroit Tigers -182 vs Baltimore Orioles
3* - [955] Pittsburgh Pirates UNDER 8 -110 vs Cincinnati Reds
3* - [956] Cincinnati Reds -114 vs Pittsburgh Pirates
3* - [957] New York Mets UNDER 7.5 -110 vs Atlanta Braves
3* - [55] CHI/BOS goes to overtime +260 vs CHI/BOS no overtime
3* - [56] Boston Bruins -1.5 +250 vs Chicago Blackhawks
3* - [56] Boston Bruins -124 vs Chicago Blackhawks
3* - [967] Oakland Athletics UNDER 9.5 -105 vs Texas Rangers
5* - [967] Oakland Athletics +110 vs Texas Rangers
3* - [55] Chicago Blackhawks UNDER 5 -138 vs Boston Bruins
3* - [960] Arizona Diamondbacks -205 vs Miami Marlins
3* - [959] Miami Marlins UNDER 8 -103 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
3* - [961] San Diego Padres +104 vs San Francisco Giants
3* - [961] San Diego Padres OVER 8 +100 vs San Francisco Giants
These plays are being tracked under the username bmdpicks11 at Pick Monitor

Today's FREE SPORTS BETS

Saturday, June 15, 2013

Household Names Top MLB Futures for a Reason

Household Names Top MLB Futures for a Reason

Today's sports bets for free and HBO boxing

My Tracked Plays
3* - [974] Houston Astros +120 vs Chicago White Sox
3* - [971] Detroit Tigers -160 vs Minnesota Twins
3* - [980] Cleveland Indians +111 vs Washington Nationals
3* - [53] Boston Bruins +140 vs Chicago Blackhawks
3* - [852] Terence Crawford -1400 vs Alejandro Sanabria
5* - [702] Mikey Garcia -480 vs Juan Manuel Lopez
These plays are being tracked under the username bmdpicks11 at Pick Monitor

Thursday, June 6, 2013

Today's FREE SPORTS BETS

My Tracked Plays
3* - [911] Tampa Bay Rays +185 vs Detroit Tigers
3* - [914] Houston Astros +129 vs Baltimore Orioles
3* - [902] Washington Nationals -162 vs New York Mets
5* - [915] Texas Rangers +119 vs Boston Red Sox
3* - [903] Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 7.5 +113 vs St. Louis Cardinals
3* - [904] St. Louis Cardinals -160 vs Arizona Diamondbacks
5* - [917] Oakland Athletics -131 vs Chicago White Sox
3* - [905] Philadelphia Phillies OVER 9 -105 vs Milwaukee Brewers
3* - [907] San Diego Padres +120 vs Colorado Rockies
3* - [702] Miami Heat -5.5 -105 vs San Antonio Spurs
3* - [14] Los Angeles Kings -120 vs Chicago Blackhawks
3* - [910] Los Angeles Dodgers -101 vs Atlanta Braves
EARLY TOMORROW MORNING
3* - [152] Jo-Wilfried Tsonga +130 vs David Ferrer

These plays are being tracked under the username PicksbyBMD at Pick Monitor

Wednesday, June 5, 2013

Tonight's parlays

Ticket 1: Boston Bruins,  La dodgers, Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles,  and Under 7.5 in Cubs vs. LAA.

Ticket 2: (all MLB) Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles, Arizona Diamondbacks, La Dodgers,  Minnesota Twins, Washington Nationals.

For an 8 teamer add Under 7.5 in Cubs vs LAA, & Over 8.5 in Arizona vs STL.

TODAY'S FREE SPORTS BETS

My Tracked Plays
3* - [967] Tampa Bay Rays +125 vs Detroit Tigers
3* - [956] Washington Nationals -143 vs New York Mets
3* - [979] Chicago Cubs UNDER 7.5 -108 vs Los Angeles Angels
3* - [980] Los Angeles Angels -150 vs Chicago Cubs
3* - [12] Boston Bruins -106 vs Pittsburgh Penguins
3* - [971] Minnesota Twins +115 vs Kansas City Royals
3* - [973] Baltimore Orioles -150 vs Houston Astros
3* - [959] Arizona Diamondbacks OVER 8.5 +110 vs St. Louis Cardinals
3* - [962] Los Angeles Dodgers -210 vs San Diego Padres

Tomorrow Nights NBA
3* - [702] Miami Heat -5.5 -105 vs San Antonio Spurs

EARLY WEEK 1 NFL
3* - [452] Denver Broncos -9 +100 vs Baltimore Ravens
3* - [459] Tampa Bay Buccaneers -130 vs New York Jets
3* - [461] Kansas City Chiefs -1.5 -120 vs Jacksonville Jaguars
3* - [466] Cleveland Browns +1 -117 vs Miami Dolphins
3* - [481] Houston Texans -2.5 -120 vs San Diego Chargers

UPCOMING BOXING - Watch the Lines
5* - [702] Floyd Mayweather Jr -250 vs Saul Alvarez
3* - [701] Brandon Rios +360 vs Manny Pacquiao
These plays are being tracked under the username PicksbyBMD at Pick Monitor

Betting on Spurs WHAT WOULD YOU DO BET A OR BET B

The last post I posed the question of which bet would you prefer to have. BET 1 or Bet 2? It isn't some trick question or anything like that. I'm not using these posts to say you idiot you would bet 1 or 2. I am posting these columns because of the reason I decided to go public in the first place with my picks even though my father and I run a very profitable business handicapping for investors. I just got to the point with the boom of online sports betting and the growth of it as a possible profession. I have a feeling as much money as there is already being bet on sports it is only going to keep on growing. Whenever you have any growing industry people are going to jump on the bandwagon and I got fed up reading all this trash from "Scamdicappers" taking advantage of the general public who wants to be able to make extra money betting on sports. So I decided that it was time wether or not anyone wants to read it is their business,  but way overdue that someone actually tells you the way it really works.    People are starting to see the advantages of betting on sports as an investment the same as stocks and having a stock broker. Anytime I meet someone who asks what a professional handicapper does? My explanation is to that effect I do the same thing as a stock broker except instead of keeping track of companies and commodities I keep track and invest in horse racing and sports. Instead of buying stocks for people to try and make them money. I bet on sports and horse racing exactly the same as stocks to your stock broker. Just like the stock market you have a ton of people who think they don't need a stock brokers help and try to do it on there own. 95% of the time they end up broke. It took me my whole life being around sports betting followed by 3 years I took off horse racing to put myself through sports betting college. I am lucky enough to have had my dad in the horse racing industry and still is one of the nations best handicappers for the past 3 decades now. So of course I was a sponge and spent time with the sharpest of the sharp sports bettors. I also studied up again on economic statistics, analytics, all the way to human psychology. Yoy may be saying why all of those random things and what does any of it have to do with Sports betting or the question of which bet you would prefer to have from above.
Well actually it has everything to do with it. All those factors are used by the people who make the lines to get the general public to bet the way that they want you to. The sportsbook hire companies that make opening lines for the games.  So when we see Miami -5.5 in the first game vs. San Antonio that doesn't mean that the sportsbooks think or are saying that Miami is 5 to 6 points better than the Spurs nor do they mean that Miami will win by 6 points. The first opening line could be a certain number for many reasons,  the goal of a sportsbook is to collect the vigorish your -110 and have as close to 50/50 bet on each side of the game. So the opening line is set by companies that have studied the same crazy things that I have psychology. Without knowing it no matter what we all want to see fun games so already your head is hoping for in basketball Miami to put on a show and the games to go over the totals. For those of you who are going to say that is why I bet moneyline so I don't have to worry about the vig.  Hate to break it to all you Moneyline bettors but the vigorish is factored into the moneyline, futures everything.  I also spent time running a sportsbook on the strip for 6 months of priceless education. If you want to learn how to beat someone or something why not learn how they beat you. Every dollar bet in a sportsbook changes their possible bottom line that is why lines are always changing. The line movement isn't necessarily a reflection of the money taken in on just that game,  it is a reflection of a combination of all the wagers that the sportsbooks have a position with that depends on the outcome of a game. If a sportsbook is going to lose money they will change the lines to have people come and bet on the side they need the money.

Now back to the question of which bet you would rather have if your betting the Spurs. With 70 bucks at +190 to win the series overall if they win the series your $70 pays $133. Now to my points of casinos and different sportsbooks online and everywhere now that is a huge advantage for us bettors. Just because the spurs in 6 games pays +600 at William Hill doesn't mean that if you shop around you could find the same bet at +700 elsewhere. So instead of just betting the series outright, for the same 70 bucks without shopping lines could get you back 120 at the least however 250 if spurs win in 4. All I am getting at is that essentially you have the same bet where there is a chance that you will get back $13 less if the Spurs win in 6 and $3 less then the straight win the series payout if the spurs win in 7 games. On the other hand lets say your right and the Spurs win in 4 games wouldn't you rather have the opportunity to make $117 more than taking them to win the series at +190. Either way you go if you're right and the Spurs win no matter what you will make money but one way you will only get $133 no matter what or the possibility of getting back $120 up to $250 for the same bet. SO JUST REMEMBER THAT IS WORTH THE TIME TO SHOP AROUND AND THINK BEFORE YOU BET YOUR HARD EARNED MONEY. OR TALK TO A REAL PRO HANDICAPPER THAT YOU CAN TRUST.

Which Way Would you BET THE NBA FINALS????

As of right now according to the opening lines from William Hill the San Antonio Spurs are +190 to win the 7 game series.   This is just a posting for those of you who think that the San Antonio Spurs are going to win the series and plan on betting on that. I just want to maybe open your eyes and teach you how to make sure that you're getting every penny you can out of your wager. So these are your two choices of how to bet the series. Lets say you like the Spurs to win it all so what do you do? You go to your online book or bookie or whoever and without thinking 95% of people would instantly ask for the Spurs to win the 7 game series at the price of +190.
So BET #1
San Antonio Spurs to win the 7 game series $70 at +190 so $70 × 1.9 = $133.

BET #2 spread out your same $70 betting on the Spurs to win in 4 games, 5 games, 6 games,  and 7 games.

Spurs in 4 +2500 (wager $10)
Spurs in 5 +700
Spurs in 6 +600
Spurs in 7 +650 (wager $20 on games 5,        6, & 7)

WHICH WOULD YOU BET????
there is no wrong answer to this question?

What I think my Cleveland Cavaliers should do with their draft picks.

The Cleveland Cavs have the first overall pick for the second time in three years. Being a diehard Cleveland fan I agree with Dan Gilbert's son, we won't be back in the lottery next year. However as a professional handicapper (betting on sports and horse racing for a living), I have to always keep being a fan in check and stay objective. I wish I could not have to ever say that I think any of my teams will lose, but if I bet the way a distorted fan thinks I wouldn't have a job. Other then the Ohio State Buckeyes FB I don't have delusions of grandeur of where our beloved Cleveland Franchisees stand. Now I feel confident saying that I expect the buckeyes to be in the National Championship game. If I was to say that after this draft the Cavs will be great I would be speaking from the heart of a fan. I am far from a pessimist I am a realist, I don't get to be a delusional fan which I miss. That's what makes sports so polarizing it gives all of us an escape for a bit and furthermore without getting into the sociological aspects to much, it brings us together which creates an inate sense of being accepted. Without you knowing it there are many scientific reasons why people feel so strongly for their respective teams, believe it or not it is many of the same factors that unfortunately contribute to kids joining gangs. You may be thinking that is an extreme connection to make but think about it for a second.

Now that I am done with that little tangent on to what the Cleveland Cavaliers should do with their draft picks. We have a few #1, #19, #31, and #33. The reason I talked about what I spoke of earlier was because the front office of all our beloved Cleveland Franchisees have to be able to make the same disconnect from being a fan when they make personnel decisions. No matter what they do there isn't a LeBron James waiting for us like a sign from God that we had 10 years ago. Lots of talk has surrounded trading for De Marcus Cousins the center from Sacramento. Now I think he has all the potential in the world and tons of upside. The down side is that he has been a head case his whole carrer. Now if the cavs want to package our 19th pick and a future pick or send them Zeller I'm cool with that. However I don't want them trading the number one pick unless it is back 1 or 2 spots in order to get the following player. Otto Porter Jr. He is ready to play right away,  I know Noel is a true 7 feet and can block shots with the best of them. I wouldn't mind too much if they took him. But looking at our roster and knowing sports as well as I do you fill your biggest need. It so happens that Porter is a top 5 talent and plays the position that we need the most help at, then Center. Which is why I would love to see them get Porter with their first pick be it staying at 1 or dropping to 3 and getting Cousins in a trade both positions filled.

Bleacher Report (below) is the first article I came across that is thinking the same way I am about the cavs pick:

The following is from Bleacher/Report great app if you don't already have it:

Projected Draft Spot: Third overall

2012-13 Stats Per Game: 16.2 points, 7.5 rebounds, 2.7 assists, 1.8 steals, 35.4 minutes

 

Porter is the best fit for the Cavs in the 2013 draft, period.

Some may view it as a reach if Cleveland took him first overall, but I doubt Chris Grant cares very much what most draft "experts" think.

Porter is the best small forward in the draft, the position at which Cleveland needs the most help.  He can score, rebound, pass and defend.  Porter has an unusual-looking shot, but he still connected on 42.2 percent of his three-pointers last season.

As a sophomore, Porter had a PER of 27.3 and was second in the Big East in win shares with 7.2, according to Sports-Reference.com.

He may not have the upside of a Nerlens Noel or Ben McLemore, but Porter is the player who would best fit with the Cavs.

Courtesy of Bleacher/Report